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US500: S&P 500 index analyses, with their outcomes

Here are the Meridian Engine analyses on the S&P 500 index, newest first, each with its conditions written before the move and its outcome checked on CME E-mini S&P 500 futures. Today there is one: the swing analysis issued on 11 October 2026 with the market closed, triggered on 14 October and closed by the stop the same day, −1.01R net.

Updated 2026-10-21

This page is an archive: it collects readings that are already closed and their outcomes, which can be checked against public data. It does not say what to do in any market and does not anticipate future readings.

The readings

US500 · 2026-10-11 · 20:45 UTC

Triggered on 14/10/2026 at 14:00 UTC, stop at 16:00 UTC: closed at −1.01R net

Conditional bullish: the 7,777 entry triggers only if price pulls back into the reclaimed H1 demand cluster. Stop 7,741, targets up to 7,844.1, invalidation on an H4 close below 7,750.4 or a D1 close below 7,608.8.

Checked on: ES=F, hourly bars

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The instrument

US500 is the price of the S&P 500 index, which gathers five hundred large US-listed companies, quoted in index points. On the engine’s feed it trades almost around the clock, from Sunday 22:00 UTC to Friday 21:00 UTC; the hours of each centre are on the market hours page.

How a reading is checked

Every US500 analysis is checked on CME E-mini S&P 500 futures (ES=F), a public series separate from the engine’s feed. They quote on their own scale: to compare them with the published levels, add the basis stated on the card of every analysis, measured on the last bar before issue.

The full method is on the methodology page.

Terms used in the readings

Band · Liquidity pool · Sweep · Displacement · Drift · Shelf · ATR (average true range)

Every Meridian Engine analysis records direction, entry, stop, targets and invalidation before the move; the outcome is checked afterwards on the public price series named on each card, losses included. Waitlist members receive one or two analyses a week by email, free while on the waitlist.

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General analysis, identical for everyone: position size, risk and decisions remain with the reader. Not investment advice.