ETHUSD · Ether vs US dollar · Intraday (24 hours) · H1
Issued by the engine 14/10/2026 17:17 UTC · published 14/10/2026 21:28 UTC · valid until 15/10/2026, 17:00 UTC
Updated 2026-10-21
Data: H1 bars from the capitalcom-demo feed (bid), from 29/09 to the 17:00 UTC close of 14/10/2026. H1 timeframe; no macro data or calendar. Levels, ATR and percentiles come from these bars. Outcome: not triggered, no trade. It goes into the record like every other.
Publication note: between issue and publication, price fell below all three targets without first rising to the entry. The analysis is not triggered: it triggers only if price rises to 2,478.89 before the end of the horizon.
The move since issue
up down entry stop targets invalidation
H1 bars of the series Binance ETHUSDT, shifted to the analysis scale with the record basis (−13.3 basis points), from six bars before issue to the end of the horizon (15/10/2026 17:00 UTC). Lines: published entry, stop, targets and invalidation levels; circles mark the recorded events. Bar source: Binance; read on 15/10/2026. Not a forecast.
The price now
For context only. The analysis is from 14/10/2026: its levels apply to that moment, not to today’s price. Source: Binance ETHUSDT, 48 hourly closes and then the live stream. Not an analysis and not an instruction.
Structure and reasoning
Levels, events and percentiles are the ones computed by the run on H1 bars from the capitalcom-demo feed, up to the 17:00 UTC close of 14/10/2026; no macro data or calendar.
Trend: the H1 chart is bearish, with a lower high (LH) at 2,517.25 and a lower low (LL) at 2,413.73 in the same 14/10 session.
Break: on 14/10 at 13:00 UTC a displacement-quality bearish BOS broke 2,478.89. It is the second displacement break to the downside in two days, after 2,500.33 on 12/10.
Liquidity: at 10:00 a run of low sweeps, 0.37 to 1.09ATR deep, took the three-member equal-low cluster at 2,495.75, and price never reclaimed it. Above, the 2,519.14 and 2,524.23 highs were swept and rejected.
Entry: the last bar closed at the top of its range, on a full-ATR bar at the 90th percentile. The entry therefore waits for a retest of the broken shelf rather than selling the low.
Opposite scenario
The 10:00 sweeps reached 1.09 ATR deep, and the last bar closed at its high off 2,413.73: that is also the shape of a capitulation low being bought.
Structure on this instrument is choppy: drift CHoCHs have flipped within 24 hours, such as the bullish one on 13/10 at 06:00, and the 11/10 16:00 displacement bullish BOS also failed.
If the bounce carries back above 2,495.75 and into the 2,507.8–2,526.58 zone, the bearish break becomes just another sweep of the lows inside a 2,413–2,534 range.
Every Meridian Engine analysis records direction, entry, stop, targets and invalidation before the move; the outcome is checked afterwards on the public price series named on each card, losses included. Waitlist members receive one or two analyses a week by email, free while on the waitlist.